ARTICLE
From Problems to Policy: Sustaining Growth
and Public Services after the Global Financial Crisis
in India and Pakistan
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Publication date: 2015-06-30
Stosunki Międzynarodowe – International Relations 2015;51(2):107-136
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ABSTRACT
Since the global financial crisis of 2008 commentators and activists have been
worried about enduring economic recession and the impact of declining incomes on
the welfare of the poorest, via both rising unemployment and reduced government
spending on social services. This paper examines this debate within the context of
contemporary India and Pakistan by reviewing two high-level policy papers; one
for India that focuses on the problem of making growth more inclusive and one for
Pakistan that focuses on raising the growth rate. The two sampled policy papers are
“From poverty to empowerment: India’s imperatives for jobs, growth and effective
basic services” published by McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) in 2014 and Pakistan:
Framework for Economic Growth’ published by the Planning Commission (PC)
of Pakistan in 2011. Both organisations in general and these two policy papers in
particular are concerned with more that stimulating debate and discussion; they
are not just academic pieces, rather they actively seek to shape policy. This paper
finds that these two policy documents have little practical relevance for policy
makers. The reports provide a bewildering list of policy recommendations with no
guidance for policymakers on how to prioritise between them. The reports draw
on the simple idea of urging policymakers to identify and emulate best practice
but fail to draw on lessons and history to gauge what did and what didn’t work
elsewhere and why. The reports completely ignore issues of political economy;
those constraints from the wider social structure on the choice of and the impact of
policy. While the reports call for massive, complex and transformative government
reforms, they make no reference to the weak and declining capacities of government
in both India and Pakistan. In light of these problems this paper argues that policy
guidance requires creative thinking structured around a deep understanding of the
constraints (and opportunities) of political economy, state capacity, appropriate
lessons and history. The careful discussion drawn from detailed context sensitive
research by scholars such as Abhijit Banerjee and Ester Duflo provides a good
starting point for thinking about policy.